Palestino vs Universidad de Concepcion
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Palestino. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: PalestinoGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.015 | A: -0.040Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.68. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -7.35% based on n=1010 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Chile Liga de Primera (cl). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The short price is supported by recent form data, with Palestino showing a clearer performance edge. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.
Palestino – Universidad de Concepcion Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Floriana - Gzira United | 1.63 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Reserves - San Martin de San Juan Reserves | 1.65 | -9.21% |
| WIN | NK Opatija - Hrvace | 1.73 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Singida Black Stars - Namungo FC | 1.70 | -9.21% |
| WIN | NEC FC Bugolobi - Lugazi FC | 1.65 | -6.04% |
| LOSS | PSV Reserves - Ajax Reserves | 1.65 | -4.66% |
| WIN | AZ Reserves - FC Utrecht Reserves | 1.65 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | Forest Green - Altrincham | 1.68 | -6.04% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Lightning - Capalaba FC | 1 | 1.63 | -7.35% | 05 Jun 12:30 |
| Guijuelo - CDA Palencia | 1 | 1.70 | -9.21% | 07 Jun 18:00 |
| ES Setif - ES Ben Aknoun | 1 | 1.74 | -7.35% | 03 Sep 20:00 |
| Lech Poznan - Jagiellonia Bialystok | 1 | 1.63 | -9.21% | 03 Sep 20:30 |
| Gent - OH Leuven | 1 | 1.63 | -7.35% | 03 Sep 20:30 |
| Vysocina Jihlava - Arsenal Ceska Lipa | 1 | 1.70 | -7.35% | 04 Sep 18:00 |
| Torque - Cerro Largo | 1 | 1.68 | -4.66% | 05 Sep 00:00 |
| Utah Royals (W) - Boston Legacy FC (W) | 1 | 1.72 | -7.35% | 05 Sep 03:30 |