Model: TIPPSH

Persebaya Surabaya vs Persik Kediri

PREDICTION

@ 1.63

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 23, 2026 1:00 PM

ResultWIN5 - 0

StartStarted 100d 4h ago

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -7.35% · n=1010

V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -7.35% · n=1010

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 100d 8h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Persebaya Surabaya. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Persebaya SurabayaGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

2/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.71First seen

Current1.63Now

Max odds1.71Highest point

Min odds1.63Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Persebaya SurabayaHOME

Persik KediriAWAY

WWDWW

Recent form

LLWWL

Avg goals scored

4.00

1.40

Defensive weakness

0.00

2.20

Shots on target for

9.00

4.40

SoT conceded pressure

2.00

5.60

Home splitW-W-L-W2.75 scored / 0.50 conceded

Away splitL-W-L-L1.25 scored / 2.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.63. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -7.35% based on n=1010 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Indonesia Super League (id). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.63

V2 BandNONEROI -7.35% · n=1010

V4 BandNONEROI -7.35% · n=1010

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The short price is supported by recent form data, with Persebaya Surabaya showing a clearer performance edge. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Persebaya Surabaya's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 43.6% 7D: 23.1% 15D: 9.1% 30D: 1.4%

Model insight

Persebaya Surabaya – Persik Kediri Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.63. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -7.35% and -7.35%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample486

Win Rate61.1%

Profit+11.83u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Yemen U20 - Cambodia U20	1.67	-9.21%
LOSS	Monterrey - Atletico San Luis	1.67	-10.11%
WIN	Sportivo Las Parejas - Sarmiento de Resistencia	1.66	-9.21%
LOSS	Airbus UK - Holywell Town	1.68	-10.11%
WIN	Bolivar SC - Atletico Avila	1.67	-9.21%
WIN	Kongsvinger 2 - IL Ulfstind	1.67	-9.21%
WIN	Talent Warsaw - MKS Przasnysz	1.73	-9.21%
WIN	Svay Rieng FC - Visakha FC	1.62	-7.35%

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Pick

1 @ 1.63

Kickoff

Mag 23, 2026 1:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -7.35% • n=1010

Confidence V4

CONF V4: NONE

Exp. ROI V4

-7.35% • n=1010

Start

Started 100d 4h ago

Updated

Updated 100d 8h ago