Model: TIPPSH

Real Madrid (W) vs Atletico Madrid (W)

PREDICTION

@ 1.66

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 30, 2026 11:00 PM

ResultWIN3 - 2

StartStarted 17h 6m ago

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -9.21% · n=1970

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1d 16h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Real Madrid (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Real Madrid (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: 0.007 | A: -0.079

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

3/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Real Madrid (W)HOME

Atletico Madrid (W)AWAY

WWWWL

Recent form

LLDLD

Avg goals scored

2.20

0.80

Defensive weakness

1.60

Shots on target for

6.00

4.00

SoT conceded pressure

5.60

4.60

Home splitW-W-L-W-W2.20 scored / 1.40 conceded

Away splitL-L-D-L-L0.60 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.66. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -9.21% based on n=1970 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Spain Primera Women (es). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.66

V2 BandNONEROI -9.21% · n=1970

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The short price is supported by recent form data, with Real Madrid (W) showing a clearer performance edge. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Real Madrid (W) has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: -13.1% 7D: 6.5% 15D: 12.5% 30D: 8.7%

Model insight

Real Madrid (W) – Atletico Madrid (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.66. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -9.21% across 1970 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample486

Win Rate61.1%

Profit+11.83u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Yemen U20 - Cambodia U20	1.67	-9.21%
LOSS	Monterrey - Atletico San Luis	1.67	-10.11%
WIN	Sportivo Las Parejas - Sarmiento de Resistencia	1.66	-9.21%
LOSS	Airbus UK - Holywell Town	1.68	-10.11%
WIN	Bolivar SC - Atletico Avila	1.67	-9.21%
WIN	Kongsvinger 2 - IL Ulfstind	1.67	-9.21%
WIN	Talent Warsaw - MKS Przasnysz	1.73	-9.21%
WIN	Svay Rieng FC - Visakha FC	1.62	-7.35%

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Pick

1 @ 1.66

Kickoff

Ago 30, 2026 11:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -9.21% • n=1970

Start

Started 17h 6m ago

Updated

Updated 1d 16h ago