San Martin SJ – Atletico Rafaela

Model: TIPPSH

San Martin SJ vs Atletico Rafaela

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.94
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 01, 2026 10:30 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 3d 16h
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=746
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 3h 9m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is San Martin SJ. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: San Martin SJGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.021 | A: -0.135

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

28/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.85First seen
Current1.94Now
Max odds1.94Highest point
Min odds1.85Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

San Martin SJHOME
VS
Atletico RafaelaAWAY
LWLWL
Recent form
WLLLD
Avg goals scored
1.20
0.40
Defensive weakness
1.00
1.20
Shots on target for
3.20
1.40
SoT conceded pressure
3.00
3.40
Home splitL-W-W-D-W1.20 scored / 0.60 conceded
Away splitL-L-D-D-L0.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.94. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=746 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Argentina Nacional B (ar). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.94
V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=746
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to San Martin SJ's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 4.7% 7D: -4.4% 15D: 12.1% 30D: 15.2%
Model insight

San Martin SJ – Atletico Rafaela Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.94. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 746 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample428
Win Rate47.4%
Profit-32.59u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSTamworth - Macclesfield1.861.31%
WINTonbridge Angels - Eastbourne Borough1.761.31%
WINFortaleza - Botafogo SP1.841.31%
WINUNAN Managua - Rancho Santana FC1.851.04%
LOSSNeftchi Fergana - Navbahor Namangan1.781.31%
LOSSPolice AC - Aryan FC1.901.04%
LOSSCA Tigre - Nacional De Football2.081.04%
LOSSCruzeiro - Botafogo1.801.04%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola12.171.04%30 May 18:30
Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves11.991.31%05 Jul 16:00
Birmingham Legion FC - New Mexico United12.171.04%27 Jul 01:00
Asane Fotball U19 - Sandefjord U1912.091.04%29 Jul 13:00
Stromsgodset U19 - Tromso U1911.791.04%29 Jul 17:30
Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Tulsa11.921.04%30 Jul 01:00
Forward Madison FC - Chattanooga Red Wolves12.101.04%30 Jul 02:00
Instituto AC Cordoba - Platense12.131.04%30 Jul 02:30
Pick
1 @ 1.94
Kickoff
Ago 01, 2026 10:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=746
Start
Starts in 3d 16h
Updated
Updated 3h 9m ago
Torna in alto