Model: TIPPSH
Rouen vs Valenciennes
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.98
StatusUpcoming
KickoffSet 03, 2026 10:45 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 2d 17h
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 9m ago
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Rouen. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: RouenGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.107 | A: -0.089Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
28/100
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.98First seen
Current1.98Now
Max odds1.98Highest point
Min odds1.98Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendStableShort term
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
RouenHOME
VS
ValenciennesAWAY
WWWDW
Recent form
DLWLD
Avg goals scored
1.80
0.80
Defensive weakness
0.20
1.40
Shots on target for
4.20
3.80
SoT conceded pressure
2.60
5.20
Home splitW-D-W-D-L1.20 scored / 0.80 conceded
Away splitL-L-W-D-W1.40 scored / 1.40 conceded
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.98. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to France Ligue 3 (fr). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.
Pick1
Odd1.98
V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendStable
VolatilityLow
AI Match Insight
The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.
Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: -11.8%
7D: 8.4%
15D: 12.5%
30D: 8.9%
Model insight
Rouen – Valenciennes Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.98. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample946
Win Rate49.0%
Profit-34.20u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Ballymena Utd Reserves - Dungannon Swifts Reserves | 1.80 | 1.04% |
| WIN | UD Logrones - CD Extremadura | 2.21 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Atletico San Luis (W) - Atlas (W) | 2.14 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy - CA Sarmiento de la Banda | 2.03 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Juventud Unida San Miguel - Club Mercedes | 2.22 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | FK Iskra Danilovgrad - FK Zeta Golubovci | 1.96 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Anstey Nomads - Banbury | 1.75 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Bury Town - Leiston | 1.95 | 1.04% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Birmingham Legion FC - New Mexico United | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 27 Jul 01:00 |
| Istra 1961 - Slaven Belupo | 1 | 1.97 | 1.04% | 15 Aug 18:30 |
| NK Osijek - NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 1 | 1.98 | 1.31% | 15 Aug 21:00 |
| Alajuelense (W) - Saprissa (W) | 1 | 1.75 | 1.04% | 20 Aug 04:00 |
| Tondela - Academica | 1 | 1.90 | 1.04% | 21 Aug 21:15 |
| Leixoes - UD Leiria | 1 | 2.13 | 1.31% | 22 Aug 12:00 |
Pick
1 @ 1.98
Kickoff
Set 03, 2026 10:45 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Start
Starts in 2d 17h
Updated
Updated 9m ago