Salisbury United – Adelaide Atletico

Model: TIPPSA

Salisbury United vs Adelaide Atletico

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.15
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 09, 2026 9:30 AM
ResultWIN1 - 2
StartStarted 63d 23h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.58% · n=409
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.22% · n=185
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 64d 9h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Adelaide Atletico. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Adelaide Atletico

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

22/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.25First seen
Current2.28Now
Max odds2.65Highest point
Min odds2.25Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Salisbury UnitedHOME
VS
Adelaide AtleticoAWAY
LLLL
Recent form
WLWW
Avg goals scored
1.00
2.25
Defensive weakness
3.00
1.00
Shots on target for
5.00
4.25
SoT conceded pressure
7.50
4.25
Home splitL-L-L1.33 scored / 3.00 conceded
Away splitW-W2.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.15. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.22% based on n=185 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia South Australia State League 1 (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.15
V2 BandLOWROI 0.58% · n=409
V4 BandNONEROI -1.22% · n=185
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -34.8% 7D: -14.0% 15D: -8.5% 30D: 6.2%
Model insight

Salisbury United – Adelaide Atletico Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.15. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.58% across 409 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -1.22% across 185 historical samples. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample96
Win Rate55.2%
Profit+17.22u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINRadomiak Radom - Hapoel Beer Sheva2.041.21%
LOSSFortaleza U20 - Vasco da Gama U202.111.21%
WINBentleigh Greens - Altona Magic2.290.84%
WINHolland Park Hawks - Redlands United2.031.21%
LOSSGalway United - Derry City2.350.84%
WINIFK Mariehamn - IF Gnistan2.031.21%
LOSSNunawading - Keilor Park2.250.84%
WINMyPa - PPJ2.061.76%
Pick
2 @ 2.15
Kickoff
Mag 09, 2026 9:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.58% • n=409
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-1.22% • n=185
Start
Started 63d 23h ago
Updated
Updated 64d 9h ago
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