Model: TIPPSH

Plaza Amador Reserves vs Academia Costa Del Este

PREDICTION

@ 1.78

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 09, 2026 5:30 AM

ResultLOSS1 - 1

StartStarted 64d 2h ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 64d 7h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Plaza Amador Reserves. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Plaza Amador Reserves

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

39/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.70First seen

Current1.78Now

Max odds1.78Highest point

Min odds1.70Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Plaza Amador ReservesHOME

Academia Costa Del EsteAWAY

DDWDW

Recent form

DDLWW

Avg goals scored

2.00

3.00

Defensive weakness

0.80

1.00

Shots on target for

9.00

5.67

SoT conceded pressure

3.80

4.00

Home splitD-D-W2.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitD-L-W1.33 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.78. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.86% based on n=299 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Panama Liga Prom (pa). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.78

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.86% · n=299

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.86% · n=299

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Plaza Amador Reserves's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: 0.1% 7D: -8.6% 15D: -4.3% 30D: 5.6%

Model insight

Plaza Amador Reserves – Academia Costa Del Este Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.78. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.86% and 4.86%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample242

Win Rate53.3%

Profit+2.63u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Wexford FC - Kerry FC	1.90	3.37%
WIN	Alamein FC (W) - Preston Lions (W)	1.90	3.37%
WIN	Houston FC - Hill Country Lobos	1.85	3.37%
WIN	Beijing Guoan - Shandong Taishan	1.78	3.37%
LOSS	Jecheon Citizen - Gijang United	1.88	3.37%
WIN	Internacional U20 - Gremio U20	1.99	3.37%
LOSS	Paysandu - Santa Cruz FC	1.81	3.37%
WIN	Landskrona BoIS - IFK Varnamo	2.02	3.37%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz	1	1.98	4.86%	09 May 13:00
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Pick

1 @ 1.78

Kickoff

Mag 09, 2026 5:30 AM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.86% • n=299

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

4.86% • n=299

Start

Started 64d 2h ago

Updated

Updated 64d 7h ago