Model: TIPPSH
San Lorenzo (W) – Newell’s Old Boys (W)
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.79
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 08, 2026 10:30 PM
ResultWIN5 - 0
StartStarted 18d 8h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.30% · n=590
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.30% · n=590
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 18d 18h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | San Lorenzo (W) | Newell's Old Boys (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-L-W | L-L-L |
| Avg goals scored | 2.67 | 0.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.67 | 3.33 |
| Home/Away form | W-W (home) | L-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 4.00 scored / 0.50 conceded | 0.00 scored / 3.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 6.33 for / 2.67 against | 1.67 for / 6.33 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 9.00 for / 3.00 against (home) | 0.50 for / 5.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. San Lorenzo (W) has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.59First seen
Current1.79Now
Max odds1.90Highest point
Min odds1.59Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
San Lorenzo (W) – Newell’s Old Boys (W) Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.79. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.30% and 2.30%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample227
Win Rate54.6%
Profit+8.15u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Varnsdorf - Mladá Boleslav B | 1.89 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | South Melbourne - Auckland FC II | 1.84 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Jadran Dekani - NK Krka | 1.91 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | North Sunshine Eagles - Langwarrin | 1.75 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | CFR Cluj - FC Arges Pitesti | 1.85 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Imisli - FK Karvan | 1.80 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Kalmar FF - Degerfors | 1.95 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Real Monarchs SLC - Colorado Rapids II | 1.76 | 3.37% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz | 1 | 1.98 | 4.86% | 09 May 13:00 |
| FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina | 1 | 1.93 | 2.30% | 10 May 19:00 |
Pick
1 @ 1.79
Kickoff
Mag 08, 2026 10:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.30% • n=590
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.30% • n=590
Start
Started 18d 8h ago
Updated
Updated 18d 18h ago