Santa Cruz RS – Brasil de Farroupilha

Model: TIPPSH

Santa Cruz RS vs Brasil de Farroupilha

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.78
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 23, 2026 10:30 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 49d 10h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 49d 23h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Santa Cruz RS. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Santa Cruz RS

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

25/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.62First seen
Current1.78Now
Max odds1.78Highest point
Min odds1.53Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Santa Cruz RSHOME
VS
Brasil de FarroupilhaAWAY
DW
Recent form
DLDD
Avg goals scored
1.50
0.50
Defensive weakness
1.00
0.75
Shots on target for
3.00
2.33
SoT conceded pressure
3.50
6.33
Home splitD1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitD-D1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.78. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Copa Gaucho (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.78
V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 31.4% 7D: 30.2% 15D: 22.3% 30D: 8.0%
Model insight

Santa Cruz RS – Brasil de Farroupilha Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.78. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample223
Win Rate43.5%
Profit-40.82u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINHouston Dynamo II - St Louis City II1.891.31%
LOSSDeportivo Moron - Deportivo Madryn1.951.04%
LOSSVikingur Reykjavik (W) - IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)1.971.04%
WINSlovacko - FC Zorya Lugansk1.961.31%
WINEC Juventude - Vila Nova1.841.04%
LOSSHwaseong FC - Paju Frontier FC1.931.04%
LOSSCobresal - Cobreloa1.991.04%
LOSSSt Polten - SK Artis Brno2.031.31%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
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Botafogo PB - AD Confianca12.021.31%13 Jul 00:30
Pick
1 @ 1.78
Kickoff
Mag 23, 2026 10:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Start
Started 49d 10h ago
Updated
Updated 49d 23h ago
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