Model: TIPPSH
Uniao Rondonopolis – Ceilandia
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.44
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 24, 2026 12:00 AM
ResultLOSS2 - 3
StartStarted 3d ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 3d 2h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Uniao Rondonopolis | Ceilandia |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-W-D-L-W | W-L-L-W-L |
| Avg goals scored | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Home/Away form | L-D-W-L (home) | W-L-W-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.00 scored / 1.25 conceded | 1.25 scored / 1.25 conceded |
| Shots on target | 5.20 for / 5.00 against | 3.60 for / 4.80 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 5.67 for / 4.67 against (home) | 3.25 for / 5.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Although the selection comes at relatively high odds, the recent statistical profile appears more balanced than the market suggests. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Uniao Rondonopolis is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.18First seen
Current2.44Now
Max odds2.44Highest point
Min odds2.18Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Uniao Rondonopolis – Ceilandia Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.44. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample29
Win Rate51.7%
Profit+6.94u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Deportivo Muniz - Fenix | 2.25 | 1.59% |
| WIN | FC Levadia Tallinn U21 - JK Nomme United II | 2.47 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Rabotnicki Skopje - Tikves Kavadarci | 2.19 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Escobar FC - Independiente Chivilcoy | 2.32 | 1.59% |
| WIN | CA Alvarado - Olimpo B Blanca | 2.23 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Araguaina - Porto Velho EC | 2.31 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Club America (W) - Washington Spirit (W) | 2.37 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Atletico Goianiense U20 - Royal U20 | 2.30 | 1.59% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Star - Logan Lightning | 1 | 2.55 | 1.59% | 23 May 09:00 |
| Palestino - Deportivo Riestra | 1 | 2.38 | 1.59% | 27 May 00:00 |
| Shamrock Rovers - St Patricks | 1 | 2.37 | 1.59% | 29 May 21:00 |
| Fram Reykjavik - Breidablik | 1 | 2.32 | 1.59% | 29 May 21:15 |
| FC Lahti - FC Ilves | 1 | 2.65 | 1.59% | 30 May 16:00 |
| Avai - Criciuma | 1 | 2.35 | 1.59% | 30 May 21:00 |
| Manta FC - Club Atletico Libertad | 1 | 2.31 | 1.59% | 30 May 21:00 |
| Degerfors - Brommapojkarna | 1 | 2.39 | 1.59% | 31 May 14:00 |
Pick
1 @ 2.44
Kickoff
Mag 24, 2026 12:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341
Start
Started 3d ago
Updated
Updated 3d 2h ago