Model: TipA1

SC Farense U19 vs CD Mafra U19

PREDICTION

@ 2.75

StatusUpcoming

KickoffSet 05, 2026 8:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 13h 22m

V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.52% · n=654

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 9m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is CD Mafra U19. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: CD Mafra U19Goal/Shots Index — H: 0.181 | A: -0.002

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

52/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

SC Farense U19HOME

CD Mafra U19AWAY

WDWW

Recent form

DWLWW

Avg goals scored

2.00

1.40

Defensive weakness

0.75

0.60

Shots on target for

4.33

4.20

SoT conceded pressure

2.67

2.60

Home splitD0.00 scored / 0.00 conceded

Away splitW-W-L0.67 scored / 0.33 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.75. The V2 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 5.52% based on n=654 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Portugal U19 League (pt). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.75

V2 BandHIGHROI 5.52% · n=654

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The current odds imply an underdog profile, although recent performances indicate a more competitive matchup. The HIGH confidence band is important here: similar higher-priced setups have historically produced positive model results.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -2.7% 7D: -4.8% 15D: 10.9% 30D: 4.8%

Model insight

SC Farense U19 – CD Mafra U19 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.75. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 5.52% across 654 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample190

Win Rate36.3%

Profit+0.96u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Pelikan Lowicz - MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki	2.50	6.36%
LOSS	Estudiantes Merida - UCV	2.80	5.52%
LOSS	El Seka El Hadid - Maleyat Kafr El Zayat	3.00	5.52%
LOSS	Deportes Limache - Nublense	2.80	5.52%
WIN	FK Vora - FK Egnatia	2.55	6.36%
WIN	Montevideo Wanderers Reserves - Torque Reserves	2.90	5.52%
LOSS	Spennymoor Town - Hednesford	2.90	5.52%
LOSS	CD Achuapa - CSD Chiquimulilla	2.80	5.52%

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Pick

2 @ 2.75

Kickoff

Set 05, 2026 8:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: HIGH

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 5.52% • n=654

Start

Starts in 13h 22m

Updated

Updated 9m ago