Model: TIPPSH

Scunthorpe vs Stoke U21

PREDICTION

@ 1.78

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 18, 2026 10:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 23h 25m

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1h 38m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Scunthorpe. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: ScunthorpeGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.030 | A: 0.005

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

25/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.15First seen

Current1.78Now

Max odds2.15Highest point

Min odds1.78Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

ScunthorpeHOME

Stoke U21AWAY

LDWLW

Recent form

DWLLW

Avg goals scored

1.80

0.60

Defensive weakness

1.40

0.80

Shots on target for

4.20

1.75

SoT conceded pressure

6.00

4.25

Home splitD-W-L-W-D0.60 scored / 0.40 conceded

Away splitW1.00 scored / 0.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.78. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to England National League Cup (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.78

V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Scunthorpe has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -15.7% 7D: -20.0% 15D: -3.1% 30D: 1.9%

Model insight

Scunthorpe – Stoke U21 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.78. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample453

Win Rate51.7%

Profit-13.77u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Rio Verde - Goianesia	2.02	1.04%
LOSS	Raufoss - Asane	2.01	1.04%
LOSS	Alhama CF (W) - Villarreal (W)	1.91	1.31%
WIN	Los Angeles FC II - Tacoma Defiance	1.89	1.04%
WIN	US Hostert - FC Etzella Ettelbruck	1.95	1.04%
WIN	SK Sturm Graz (W) - FC Salzburg (W)	1.90	1.04%
WIN	Lautoka FC - Nadi FC	1.85	1.31%
WIN	Nublense - Union La Calera	1.78	1.31%

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Pick

1 @ 1.78

Kickoff

Ago 18, 2026 10:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438

Start

Starts in 23h 25m

Updated

Updated 1h 38m ago