Spain (W) – England (W)

Model: TipTromba2H

Spain (W) vs England (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.57
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 05, 2026 11:00 PM
ResultWIN4 - 0
StartStarted 45d 17h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.89% · n=1157
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.89% · n=1157
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 46d 23h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Spain (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Spain (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

12/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.43First seen
Current1.57Now
Max odds1.57Highest point
Min odds1.43Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Spain (W)HOME
VS
England (W)AWAY
WWL
Recent form
LWW
Avg goals scored
3.00
0.67
Defensive weakness
0.33
1.33
Shots on target for
7.67
2.00
SoT conceded pressure
1.33
5.00
Home splitW-W4.50 scored / 0.00 conceded
Away splitL-W0.50 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.57. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.89% based on n=1157 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Women's World Cup Qual. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.57
V2 BandNONEROI -1.89% · n=1157
V4 BandNONEROI -1.89% · n=1157
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a clear favorite, although the recent form gap is not as dominant as the price might imply. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Spain (W) is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 7.2% 7D: 7.4% 15D: 21.0% 30D: 14.2%
Model insight

Spain (W) – England (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.57. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -1.89% and -1.89%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample395
Win Rate64.1%
Profit+11.65u
Historical Similar Predictions
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LOSSSanta Cruz Acre U20 - Independencia FC U201.62-3.82%
LOSSGKS Tychy 71 - MSK Povazska Bystrica1.73-1.89%
WINNEC - Al Fayha1.67-3.82%
LOSSClub Aurora - Oriente Petrolero1.62-3.38%
LOSSShanghai Port U20 - Shandong Taishan U201.50-3.38%
WINViimsi JK (W) - Saku Sporting (W)1.70-1.89%
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Pick
1 @ 1.57
Kickoff
Giu 05, 2026 11:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.89% • n=1157
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-1.89% • n=1157
Start
Started 45d 17h ago
Updated
Updated 46d 23h ago
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