Spain (W) vs England (W)
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Spain (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Spain (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.57. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.89% based on n=1157 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Women's World Cup Qual. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The odds suggest a clear favorite, although the recent form gap is not as dominant as the price might imply. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Spain (W) is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Spain (W) – England (W) Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | JK Trans Narva II - Parnu JK Vaprus II | 1.53 | -1.89% |
| LOSS | FC Levadia Tallinn U19 - FA Tartu Kalev | 1.73 | -3.82% |
| LOSS | Santa Cruz Acre U20 - Independencia FC U20 | 1.62 | -3.82% |
| LOSS | GKS Tychy 71 - MSK Povazska Bystrica | 1.73 | -1.89% |
| WIN | NEC - Al Fayha | 1.67 | -3.82% |
| LOSS | Club Aurora - Oriente Petrolero | 1.62 | -3.38% |
| LOSS | Shanghai Port U20 - Shandong Taishan U20 | 1.50 | -3.38% |
| WIN | Viimsi JK (W) - Saku Sporting (W) | 1.70 | -1.89% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merthyr Town - Briton Ferry | 1 | 1.53 | -3.38% | 21 Jul 20:30 |
| Toluca - Unam Pumas | 1 | 1.70 | -1.89% | 22 Jul 05:00 |
| Rangers - St Etienne | 1 | 1.62 | -3.38% | 22 Jul 20:45 |
| Lugano - KF Dukagjini | 1 | 1.50 | -3.38% | 23 Jul 20:30 |