Model: TIPPSH
Sportivo Italiano vs Argentino Merlo
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.16
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 31, 2026 9:30 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 2
StartStarted 47d 11h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 47d 13h ago
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Sportivo Italiano. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Sportivo ItalianoValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
30/100
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.17First seen
Current2.16Now
Max odds2.20Highest point
Min odds2.12Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Sportivo ItalianoHOME
VS
Argentino MerloAWAY
LLWDD
Recent form
WLLDL
Avg goals scored
0.60
0.40
Defensive weakness
1.00
0.80
Shots on target for
3.00
2.60
SoT conceded pressure
3.00
4.20
Home splitL-L-D-W-W1.00 scored / 1.20 conceded
Away splitW-L-D-D-L0.60 scored / 0.80 conceded
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.16. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Argentina Primera B Metropolitana (ar). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.
Pick1
Odd2.16
V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityMedium
AI Match Insight
The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.
Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 2.6%
7D: 8.1%
15D: 23.3%
30D: 11.9%
Model insight
Sportivo Italiano – Argentino Merlo Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.16. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample285
Win Rate46.3%
Profit-5.75u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Ocean City Nor'easters - FC Motown STA | 2.24 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Itabirito U20 - Social FC MG U20 | 1.97 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Zrinjski Mostar - HSK Posusje | 1.97 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Springvale White Eagles - Nunawading | 2.04 | 1.31% |
| WIN | AZ Reserves - Ajax Reserves | 2.25 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Leon - Atlas | 2.06 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Keflavik (W) - Haukar (W) | 2.32 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Sao Luis MA - Pinheiro AC | 2.35 | 1.59% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Boca Juniors Reserves - River Plate Reserves | 1 | 2.40 | 1.59% | 05 Jul 19:00 |
| Hills United FC - Hakoah Sydney City East | 1 | 2.24 | 1.04% | 18 Jul 09:00 |
| Inter Lions - Rydalmere Lions FC | 1 | 1.92 | 1.31% | 18 Jul 09:00 |
| HNK Segesta - Karlovac | 1 | 2.40 | 1.59% | 18 Jul 10:00 |
| FC Ajka - Csakvari TK | 1 | 2.40 | 1.59% | 18 Jul 10:00 |
| Mount Gravatt Hawks - Logan Roos FC | 1 | 2.15 | 1.04% | 18 Jul 11:00 |
Pick
1 @ 2.16
Kickoff
Mag 31, 2026 9:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Start
Started 47d 11h ago
Updated
Updated 47d 13h ago