Model: TIPPSH
Sportivo Italiano – Argentino Merlo
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.16
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 31, 2026 9:30 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 2
StartStarted 1d 21h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 23h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Sportivo Italiano | Argentino Merlo |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-L-W-D-D | W-L-L-D-L |
| Avg goals scored | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Home/Away form | L-L-D-W-W (home) | W-L-D-D-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.00 scored / 1.20 conceded | 0.60 scored / 0.80 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.00 for / 3.00 against | 2.60 for / 4.20 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 3.00 for / 3.00 against (home) | 2.20 for / 3.40 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.
Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 6.1%
7D: 9.8%
15D: 24.1%
30D: 12.3%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.17First seen
Current2.16Now
Max odds2.20Highest point
Min odds2.12Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight
Sportivo Italiano – Argentino Merlo Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.16. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample99
Win Rate46.5%
Profit-0.14u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Sport Huancayo II - Ayacucho FC | 2.01 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Quilmes Reserves - Deportivo Laferrere Reserves | 2.32 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | O'Higgins - Everton de Vina | 1.94 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Palestino - Audax Italiano | 1.99 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Urena SC - Yaracuyanos | 2.12 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Itabirito (W) - Clube Atletico Piauiense (W) | 2.30 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Sporting FC Teotonio - Zumbi EC | 1.97 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Ilvamaddalena - Viareggio Calcio | 2.13 | 1.04% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| RoPS - OLS | 1 | 2.06 | 1.04% | 02 Jun 18:00 |
| Penarol Reserves - Torque Reserves | 1 | 2.20 | 1.04% | 02 Jun 19:00 |
| Ferro Carril Oeste Reserves - Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Reserves | 1 | 1.98 | 1.31% | 02 Jun 20:00 |
Pick
1 @ 2.16
Kickoff
Mag 31, 2026 9:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Start
Started 1d 21h ago
Updated
Updated 1d 23h ago