Model: TIPPSH

St. Louis City SC vs Real Salt Lake

PREDICTION

@ 2.12

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 02, 2026 4:30 AM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 2d 22h

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 11m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is St. Louis City SC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: St. Louis City SCGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.043 | A: 0.008

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

31/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.15First seen

Current2.12Now

Max odds2.15Highest point

Min odds2.12Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

St. Louis City SCHOME

Real Salt LakeAWAY

WWWWD

Recent form

LLWDW

Avg goals scored

2.40

1.80

Defensive weakness

1.00

1.60

Shots on target for

5.60

4.60

SoT conceded pressure

3.00

3.20

Home splitW-W-W-D-W2.20 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitL-L-D-L-L1.00 scored / 2.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.12. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA MLS (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.12

V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. St. Louis City SC is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -28.0% 7D: -15.4% 15D: 6.8% 30D: 9.3%

Model insight

St. Louis City SC – Real Salt Lake Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.12. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample398

Win Rate47.0%

Profit-9.08u

Historical Similar Predictions

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LOSS	JPS - FCJ Blackbird	1.93	1.04%
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LOSS	Asane Fotball U19 - Sandefjord U19	2.09	1.04%
WIN	Forward Madison FC - Chattanooga Red Wolves	2.10	1.04%
LOSS	Police AC - Aryan FC	1.90	1.04%
LOSS	CA Tigre - Nacional De Football	2.08	1.04%
WIN	Fuerte San Francisco Reserves - CD Platense Zacatecoluca Reserves	2.01	1.31%

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Pick

1 @ 2.12

Kickoff

Ago 02, 2026 4:30 AM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.31% • n=2537

Start

Starts in 2d 22h

Updated

Updated 11m ago