Szentlorinc SE – FC Ajka

Model: TIPPSH

Szentlorinc SE vs FC Ajka

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.49
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 30, 2026 7:30 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 1
StartStarted 20h 10m ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.70% · n=209
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 22h 28m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Szentlorinc SE. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Szentlorinc SEGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.006 | A: 0.152

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

28/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.40First seen
Current2.49Now
Max odds2.49Highest point
Min odds2.30Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Szentlorinc SEHOME
VS
FC AjkaAWAY
LLWWD
Recent form
WWDDW
Avg goals scored
1.20
1.60
Defensive weakness
1.20
0.60
Shots on target for
4.80
5.40
SoT conceded pressure
4.60
5.20
Home splitL-W-W-D-L0.80 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitW-D-L-L-L0.40 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.49. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -0.70% based on n=209 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Hungary NB II (hu). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.49
V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341
V4 BandNONEROI -0.70% · n=209
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 6.8% 7D: 4.5% 15D: 15.3% 30D: 7.5%
Model insight

Szentlorinc SE – FC Ajka Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.49. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -0.70% across 209 historical samples. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample312
Win Rate42.0%
Profit+3.32u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSCienciano - Cusco FC2.381.59%
WINCSD Flandria - San Martin De Burzaco2.281.59%
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WINUniversidad Catolica (W) - Universidad de Chile (W)2.431.59%
LOSSAguilas - Alcorcon2.671.59%
LOSSGerminal de Rawson - Deportivo Rincon2.351.59%
WINUSI Azzurri - CS Chênois2.311.59%
WINASD Brian Lignano - Triestina2.511.59%
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Pick
1 @ 2.49
Kickoff
Ago 30, 2026 7:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-0.70% • n=209
Start
Started 20h 10m ago
Updated
Updated 22h 28m ago
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