Model: TIPPSH

Tamworth vs Boston Utd

PREDICTION

@ 2.30

StatusUpcoming

KickoffSet 05, 2026 6:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 3d 20h

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 13m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Tamworth. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: TamworthGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.100 | A: 0.007

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Balanced

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

34/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.30First seen

Current2.30Now

Max odds2.30Highest point

Min odds2.30Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

TamworthHOME

Boston UtdAWAY

LWLWL

Recent form

LLWLW

Avg goals scored

2.40

1.60

Defensive weakness

2.80

1.60

Shots on target for

7.00

5.80

SoT conceded pressure

5.80

3.40

Home splitW-W-L-D-L2.20 scored / 2.00 conceded

Away splitL-W-L-W-W1.60 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.30. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to England National League (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.30

V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Tamworth has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: -0.2% 7D: 3.6% 15D: 17.8% 30D: 7.5%

Model insight

Tamworth – Boston Utd Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.30. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample586

Win Rate46.2%

Profit+17.05u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Volos NFC - Kalamata	2.15	1.31%
WIN	UD Logrones - CD Extremadura	2.21	1.31%
WIN	Atletico San Luis (W) - Atlas (W)	2.14	1.04%
WIN	Osasuna - Getafe	2.27	1.59%
LOSS	Cienciano - Cusco FC	2.38	1.59%
WIN	CSD Flandria - San Martin De Burzaco	2.28	1.59%
WIN	Juventud Unida San Miguel - Club Mercedes	2.22	1.31%
LOSS	Sambiase - Vigor Lamezia	2.24	1.04%

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Pick

1 @ 2.30

Kickoff

Set 05, 2026 6:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341

Start

Starts in 3d 20h

Updated

Updated 13m ago