Model: TIPPSH

Universidad Guadalajara vs Jaiba Brava

PREDICTION

@ 2.26

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 16, 2026 10:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 4d 8h

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 7m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Universidad Guadalajara. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Universidad GuadalajaraGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.028 | A: 0.017

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

33/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.23First seen

Current2.26Now

Max odds2.26Highest point

Min odds2.23Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Universidad GuadalajaraHOME

Jaiba BravaAWAY

LWWLL

Recent form

WLDLW

Avg goals scored

1.80

1.40

Defensive weakness

1.80

1.00

Shots on target for

5.40

2.40

SoT conceded pressure

6.40

3.80

Home splitL-L-W1.33 scored / 1.67 conceded

Away splitL-L-L-D-W0.80 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.26. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Mexico Liga de Expansion (mx). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.26

V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Universidad Guadalajara's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 9.5% 7D: 15.6% 15D: 12.2% 30D: 11.5%

Model insight

Universidad Guadalajara – Jaiba Brava Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.26. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample399

Win Rate47.1%

Profit+11.62u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Real Jaen - Cacereno	2.25	1.41%
LOSS	Flamengo SP U20 - GO Audax U20	2.37	1.59%
WIN	New York City FC II - Orlando City II	2.14	1.04%
LOSS	Berwick Rangers - Hearts B	2.04	1.31%
LOSS	Nacional de Montevideo Reserves - Montevideo Wanderers Reserves	2.20	1.31%
WIN	Planalto EC (W) - Pantanal (W)	2.12	1.04%
LOSS	Huachipato (W) - Palestino (W)	2.37	1.59%
LOSS	JS Hercules - SJK Akatemia II	2.32	1.59%

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Pick

1 @ 2.26

Kickoff

Ago 16, 2026 10:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341

Start

Starts in 4d 8h

Updated

Updated 7m ago