Auckland City – Fencibles United

Model: TIPPSA

Auckland City vs Fencibles United

PREDICTION
2
@ 4.52
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 25, 2026 7:00 AM
ResultLOSS4 - 1
StartStarted 77d 6h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -2.42% · n=28
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 77d 8h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Fencibles United. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Fencibles United

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

37/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds5.80First seen
Current4.96Now
Max odds5.80Highest point
Min odds4.90Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Auckland CityHOME
VS
Fencibles UnitedAWAY
WDWLL
Recent form
LWLLW
Avg goals scored
1.60
3.00
Defensive weakness
1.00
3.20
Shots on target for
2.20
7.80
SoT conceded pressure
3.20
5.00
Home splitW-W-L2.67 scored / 1.33 conceded
Away splitL-L-L1.67 scored / 4.33 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 4.52. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -2.42% based on n=28 historical similar picks. The match belongs to New Zealand Northern League (nz). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd4.52
V2 BandNONEROI -2.42% · n=28
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The current odds imply an underdog profile, although recent performances indicate a more competitive matchup. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Fencibles United is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -12.4% 7D: -0.2% 15D: 7.3% 30D: 15.0%
Model insight

Auckland City – Fencibles United Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 4.52. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -2.42% across 28 similar predictions. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample20
Win Rate30.0%
Profit+6.77u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINLyon - Lens4.60-0.38%
LOSSDijon - US Orleans 454.50-0.38%
LOSSZira IK - FK Gabala4.44-2.42%
WINGetafe - Rayo Vallecano4.53-0.38%
WINBodrum FK - Sariyer4.33-0.38%
LOSSFC Utrecht - NAC4.30-0.38%
LOSSJacuipense - Atletico Alagoinhas4.42-0.38%
LOSSDeportivo La Coruna (W) - Alhama CF (W)4.28-2.42%
Pick
2 @ 4.52
Kickoff
Apr 25, 2026 7:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -2.42% • n=28
Start
Started 77d 6h ago
Updated
Updated 77d 8h ago
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