Model: TIPPSA

FC Utrecht vs NAC

PREDICTION

@ 4.42

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 02, 2026 6:30 PM

ResultLOSS2 - 0

StartStarted 69d 19h ago

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.38% · n=79

V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 10.80% · n=30

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 69d 22h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is NAC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: NAC

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

82/100

Excellent value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds4.53First seen

Current4.46Now

Max odds4.53Highest point

Min odds4.20Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FC UtrechtHOME

NACAWAY

WLWL

Recent form

LLDD

Avg goals scored

2.25

0.25

Defensive weakness

2.50

1.25

Shots on target for

7.75

3.75

SoT conceded pressure

6.75

5.75

Home splitW-W3.00 scored / 0.50 conceded

Away splitL-D0.50 scored / 1.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 4.42. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 10.80% based on n=30 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Netherlands Eredivisie (nl). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick2

Odd4.42

V2 BandNONEROI -0.38% · n=79

V4 BandELITEROI 10.80% · n=30

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The selection carries significant risk according to both market expectations and recent form indicators. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -12.1% 7D: -1.6% 15D: 0.6% 30D: 10.5%

Model insight

FC Utrecht – NAC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 4.42. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -0.38% across 79 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is ELITE, with a historical expected ROI of 10.80% across 30 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample18

Win Rate33.3%

Profit+8.77u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Lyon - Lens	4.60	-0.38%
LOSS	Dijon - US Orleans 45	4.50	-0.38%
LOSS	Zira IK - FK Gabala	4.44	-2.42%
WIN	Getafe - Rayo Vallecano	4.53	-0.38%
WIN	Bodrum FK - Sariyer	4.33	-0.38%
LOSS	Jacuipense - Atletico Alagoinhas	4.42	-0.38%
LOSS	Deportivo La Coruna (W) - Alhama CF (W)	4.28	-2.42%
LOSS	CD Diocesano U19 - UD La Cruz Villanovense U19	4.31	-0.38%

Pick

2 @ 4.42

Kickoff

Mag 02, 2026 6:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -0.38% • n=79

Confidence V4

CONF V4: ELITE

Exp. ROI V4

10.80% • n=30

Start

Started 69d 19h ago

Updated

Updated 69d 22h ago