Deportivo La Coruna (W) – Alhama CF (W)

Model: TIPPSA

Deportivo La Coruna (W) vs Alhama CF (W)

PREDICTION
2
@ 4.37
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 26, 2026 2:00 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 2
StartStarted 75d 23h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -2.42% · n=28
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 76d 1h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Alhama CF (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Alhama CF (W)

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

36/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.24First seen
Current4.53Now
Max odds5.00Highest point
Min odds4.24Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Deportivo La Coruna (W)HOME
VS
Alhama CF (W)AWAY
DL
Recent form
DL
Avg goals scored
1.00
1.50
Defensive weakness
2.00
3.50
Shots on target for
6.50
2.50
SoT conceded pressure
6.00
8.50
Home splitD2.00 scored / 2.00 conceded
Away splitD2.00 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 4.37. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -2.42% based on n=28 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Spain Primera Women (es). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd4.37
V2 BandNONEROI -2.42% · n=28
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The current odds imply an underdog profile, although recent performances indicate a more competitive matchup. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 18.0% 7D: 9.3% 15D: 8.9% 30D: 16.4%
Model insight

Deportivo La Coruna (W) – Alhama CF (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 4.37. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -2.42% across 28 similar predictions. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample18
Win Rate33.3%
Profit+8.77u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINLyon - Lens4.60-0.38%
LOSSDijon - US Orleans 454.50-0.38%
LOSSZira IK - FK Gabala4.44-2.42%
WINGetafe - Rayo Vallecano4.53-0.38%
WINBodrum FK - Sariyer4.33-0.38%
LOSSFC Utrecht - NAC4.30-0.38%
LOSSJacuipense - Atletico Alagoinhas4.42-0.38%
LOSSCD Diocesano U19 - UD La Cruz Villanovense U194.31-0.38%
Pick
2 @ 4.37
Kickoff
Apr 26, 2026 2:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -2.42% • n=28
Start
Started 75d 23h ago
Updated
Updated 76d 1h ago
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