Model: TIPPSA
FC Ilves – AC Oulu
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.60
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 08, 2026 7:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 0
StartStarted 32d 17h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.31% · n=578
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 33d ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | FC Ilves | AC Oulu |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-D-L-D-L | L-W-L-L-W |
| Avg goals scored | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Home/Away form | W-L (home) | L-L-L-W-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.00 scored / 1.50 conceded | 1.80 scored / 1.40 conceded |
| Shots on target | 2.60 for / 4.40 against | 3.80 for / 2.40 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 3.00 for / 4.00 against (home) | 4.40 for / 3.80 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to AC Oulu's attacking profile.
Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -30.7%
7D: -11.2%
15D: -7.1%
30D: 5.4%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.70First seen
Current2.60Now
Max odds2.70Highest point
Min odds2.55Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight
FC Ilves – AC Oulu Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.60. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.31% across 578 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample121
Win Rate43.0%
Profit+11.05u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Maldives - Afghanistan | 2.63 | 4.13% |
| WIN | Chongqing Tonglianglong - Beijing Guoan | 2.52 | 3.43% |
| LOSS | Deportes Recoleta - San Luis Quillota | 2.56 | 3.43% |
| LOSS | IF Gnistan - SJK | 2.51 | 4.13% |
| LOSS | NK Radomlje - NS Mura | 2.55 | 4.13% |
| WIN | Helsingborg - Varbergs BoIS FC | 2.63 | 4.13% |
| WIN | Guayaquil City - Orense | 2.48 | 3.59% |
| WIN | Almagro - San Martin SJ | 2.62 | 4.44% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retro FC Brasil - America RN | 2 | 2.70 | 3.31% | 30 Apr 02:30 |
Pick
2 @ 2.60
Kickoff
Mag 08, 2026 7:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.31% • n=578
Start
Started 32d 17h ago
Updated
Updated 33d ago