Model: TIPPSH

Jiangxi Lushan vs Wenzhou FC

PREDICTION

@ 2.02

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 09, 2026 3:30 PM

ResultWIN3 - 1

StartStarted 63d 10h ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.30% · n=590

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.30% · n=590

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 63d 12h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Jiangxi Lushan. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Jiangxi Lushan

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

33/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.00First seen

Current2.02Now

Max odds2.05Highest point

Min odds2.00Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Jiangxi LushanHOME

Wenzhou FCAWAY

WWDLW

Recent form

LDDLL

Avg goals scored

2.40

0.40

Defensive weakness

0.40

1.40

Shots on target for

4.40

0.80

SoT conceded pressure

1.80

3.20

Home splitW-L-W1.67 scored / 0.67 conceded

Away splitL-D-L-L-D0.60 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.02. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.30% based on n=590 historical similar picks. The match belongs to China Division 2 (cn). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.02

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.30% · n=590

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 2.30% · n=590

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Jiangxi Lushan's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -18.5% 7D: -9.8% 15D: -6.7% 30D: 6.0%

Model insight

Jiangxi Lushan – Wenzhou FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.02. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.30% and 2.30%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample338

Win Rate49.1%

Profit-11.39u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Wexford FC - Kerry FC	1.90	3.37%
WIN	Alamein FC (W) - Preston Lions (W)	1.90	3.37%
WIN	Houston FC - Hill Country Lobos	1.85	3.37%
WIN	Beijing Guoan - Shandong Taishan	1.78	3.37%
WIN	BFA Vilnius - FK Ekranas	2.25	3.15%
LOSS	Nautico - EC Juventude	2.27	3.15%
WIN	FK Jelgava - SC Grobinas	2.05	3.37%
WIN	Cuiaba - America MG	2.13	3.37%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz	1	1.98	4.86%	09 May 13:00
FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina	1	1.93	2.30%	10 May 19:00

Pick

1 @ 2.02

Kickoff

Mag 09, 2026 3:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 2.30% • n=590

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

2.30% • n=590

Start

Started 63d 10h ago

Updated

Updated 63d 12h ago