Herediano vs Cartagines
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Cartagines. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: CartaginesGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.44. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.78% based on n=16 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Costa Rica Primera Division (cr). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Cartagines has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Herediano – Cartagines Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Besiktas - Midtjylland | 3.31 | -0.79% |
| LOSS | Real Sociedad - Racing Santander | 3.50 | -1.31% |
| LOSS | Sacramento Republic - Rhode Island FC | 3.50 | -1.31% |
| LOSS | Avai - Cuiaba | 3.20 | -1.07% |
| WIN | Sao Bernardo SP - EC Juventude | 3.22 | -1.07% |
| LOSS | Tianjin Shengde (W) - Chongqing Olympic (W) | 3.43 | -0.79% |
| LOSS | Persis Solo - Persebaya Surabaya | 3.32 | -1.78% |
| WIN | Malmo FF - Mjällby AIF | 3.20 | -0.51% |