Magallanes vs Deportes Recoleta
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Magallanes. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: MagallanesValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.90. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.30% based on n=590 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Chile Primera B (cl). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Magallanes's attacking profile.
Magallanes – Deportes Recoleta Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Wexford FC - Kerry FC | 1.90 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Alamein FC (W) - Preston Lions (W) | 1.90 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Houston FC - Hill Country Lobos | 1.85 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Beijing Guoan - Shandong Taishan | 1.78 | 3.37% |
| WIN | FK Jelgava - SC Grobinas | 2.05 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Cuiaba - America MG | 2.13 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Jecheon Citizen - Gijang United | 1.88 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Internacional U20 - Gremio U20 | 1.99 | 3.37% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz | 1 | 1.98 | 4.86% | 09 May 13:00 |
| FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina | 1 | 1.93 | 2.30% | 10 May 19:00 |