Model: TIPPSH

Defensor Sporting Reserves vs Albion FC Reserves

PREDICTION

@ 1.78

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 18, 2026 4:30 PM

ResultWIN1 - 0

StartStarted 53d 22h ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.31% · n=212

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.31% · n=212

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 54d 4h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Defensor Sporting Reserves. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Defensor Sporting Reserves

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

37/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.73First seen

Current1.76Now

Max odds1.76Highest point

Min odds1.73Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Defensor Sporting ReservesHOME

Albion FC ReservesAWAY

WDDLW

Recent form

LWDLL

Avg goals scored

1.60

0.40

Defensive weakness

0.80

1.20

Shots on target for

4.60

1.80

SoT conceded pressure

2.60

6.40

Home splitW-D-W2.33 scored / 0.67 conceded

Away splitL-W-L-W0.50 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.78. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.31% based on n=212 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Uruguay Reserve League (uy). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.78

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.31% · n=212

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.31% · n=212

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Defensor Sporting Reserves's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 13.1% 7D: 15.6% 15D: 4.0% 30D: 0.6%

Model insight

Defensor Sporting Reserves – Albion FC Reserves Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.78. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.31% and 4.31%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample242

Win Rate53.3%

Profit+2.63u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Wexford FC - Kerry FC	1.90	3.37%
WIN	Alamein FC (W) - Preston Lions (W)	1.90	3.37%
WIN	Houston FC - Hill Country Lobos	1.85	3.37%
WIN	Beijing Guoan - Shandong Taishan	1.78	3.37%
LOSS	Jecheon Citizen - Gijang United	1.88	3.37%
WIN	Internacional U20 - Gremio U20	1.99	3.37%
LOSS	Paysandu - Santa Cruz FC	1.81	3.37%
WIN	Landskrona BoIS - IFK Varnamo	2.02	3.37%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz	1	1.98	4.86%	09 May 13:00
FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina	1	1.93	2.30%	10 May 19:00

Pick

1 @ 1.78

Kickoff

Mag 18, 2026 4:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.31% • n=212

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

4.31% • n=212

Start

Started 53d 22h ago

Updated

Updated 54d 4h ago