Model: TIPPSH
Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia – Slavia Sofia
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.96
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 18, 2026 8:30 PM
ResultWIN2 - 0
StartStarted 8d 8h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 8d 10h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia | Slavia Sofia |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-D-D-D-W | L-L-L-W-L |
| Avg goals scored | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Home/Away form | W-D-D-D-W (home) | L-L-L-D-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.60 scored / 1.00 conceded | 0.80 scored / 1.60 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.80 for / 3.40 against | 3.80 for / 5.40 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 5.00 for / 4.20 against (home) | 4.40 for / 5.40 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.61First seen
Current1.85Now
Max odds1.86Highest point
Min odds1.57Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia – Slavia Sofia Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.96. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample68
Win Rate47.1%
Profit-4.81u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Cape Town City - Milford FC | 1.91 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Scherpenheuvel - Inter Willemstad | 1.84 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Penarol Reserves - Deportivo Maldonado Reserves | 1.81 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Rabotnicki Skopje - Tikves Kavadarci | 2.19 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Sandefjord - Fredrikstad | 1.94 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Chattanooga FC - Carolina Core FC | 1.98 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Manauara EC - Manaus | 1.83 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Mlawianka Mlawa - Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki | 1.80 | 1.31% |
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| Ceara - Operario PR | 1 | 1.97 | 1.31% | 31 May 21:00 |
| Quilmes - Atletico Rafaela | 1 | 2.21 | 1.04% | 31 May 22:00 |
Pick
1 @ 1.96
Kickoff
Mag 18, 2026 8:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Start
Started 8d 8h ago
Updated
Updated 8d 10h ago