Model: TIPPSH
Sanfrecce Hiroshima – Nagoya Grampus
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.85
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 23, 2026 9:00 AM
ResultWIN4 - 2
StartStarted 4d 6h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 4d 8h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Nagoya Grampus |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-W-W-D-L | L-L-W-W-W |
| Avg goals scored | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| Home/Away form | W-D-W-W-D (home) | L-L-W-W-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 2.00 scored / 1.00 conceded | 1.80 scored / 2.80 conceded |
| Shots on target | 5.20 for / 3.40 against | 5.20 for / 6.80 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 6.80 for / 3.20 against (home) | 4.40 for / 5.80 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.70First seen
Current1.85Now
Max odds1.85Highest point
Min odds1.70Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Sanfrecce Hiroshima – Nagoya Grampus Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.85. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample59
Win Rate44.1%
Profit-8.77u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Cape Town City - Milford FC | 1.91 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Scherpenheuvel - Inter Willemstad | 1.84 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Penarol Reserves - Deportivo Maldonado Reserves | 1.81 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Sandefjord - Fredrikstad | 1.94 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Chattanooga FC - Carolina Core FC | 1.98 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Manauara EC - Manaus | 1.83 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Mlawianka Mlawa - Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki | 1.80 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Granat Skarzysko-Kamienna - Wierna Malogoszcz | 2.10 | 1.31% |
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|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Boys Reserves - Ferrocarril Midland Reserves | 1 | 1.78 | 1.04% | 27 May 16:00 |
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| Wieczysta Krakow - Polonia Warsaw | 1 | 1.90 | 1.31% | 28 May 17:30 |
| National Bank - Al Ittihad Al Sakandary | 1 | 2.03 | 1.04% | 29 May 19:00 |
| EC Juventude - America MG | 1 | 1.88 | 1.31% | 30 May 02:00 |
| Charleston Battery - Detroit City FC | 1 | 1.89 | 1.04% | 31 May 00:00 |
| Louisville City FC - Tampa Bay Rowdies | 1 | 1.92 | 1.04% | 31 May 01:00 |
Pick
1 @ 1.85
Kickoff
Mag 23, 2026 9:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Start
Started 4d 6h ago
Updated
Updated 4d 8h ago