Compostela – Racing Club Villalbes

Model: TIPPSH

Compostela vs Racing Club Villalbes

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.82
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 23, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultWIN6 - 1
StartStarted 49d ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 49d 11h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Compostela. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Compostela

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

27/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.73First seen
Current1.82Now
Max odds1.82Highest point
Min odds1.57Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

CompostelaHOME
VS
Racing Club VillalbesAWAY
WDWWD
Recent form
LDWLL
Avg goals scored
2.00
0.80
Defensive weakness
0.60
2.80
Shots on target for
4.40
2.80
SoT conceded pressure
2.60
5.80
Home splitW-W-D-L-W3.00 scored / 1.40 conceded
Away splitL-L-W-D-D0.80 scored / 2.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.82. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Spain Tercera - Play-Offs (es). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.82
V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Compostela has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 37.0% 7D: 30.2% 15D: 23.7% 30D: 8.6%
Model insight

Compostela – Racing Club Villalbes Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.82. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample254
Win Rate44.9%
Profit-36.77u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
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WINWarta Sieradz - LKS Lodz II2.051.04%
WINSlovacko - FC Zorya Lugansk1.961.31%
WINEC Juventude - Vila Nova1.841.04%
LOSSHwaseong FC - Paju Frontier FC1.931.04%
LOSSGimcheon Sangmu FC - Bucheon2.061.04%
LOSSCobresal - Cobreloa1.991.04%
LOSSSt Polten - SK Artis Brno2.031.31%
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Pick
1 @ 1.82
Kickoff
Mag 23, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
1.31% • n=2537
Start
Started 49d ago
Updated
Updated 49d 11h ago
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