Matsumoto Y FC vs Fukushima Utd
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Matsumoto Y FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Matsumoto Y FCValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.91. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Japan J2/J3 Centennial League (jp). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
With no dominant recent form edge, the pick should be interpreted mainly through the model's historical profile. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.
Matsumoto Y FC – Fukushima Utd Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Los Angeles FC II - Portland Timbers II | 2.07 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Houston Dynamo II - St Louis City II | 1.89 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Argentino Merlo - Argentino Quilmes | 2.10 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Deportivo Moron - Deportivo Madryn | 1.95 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) - IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) | 1.97 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Warta Sieradz - LKS Lodz II | 2.05 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Slovacko - FC Zorya Lugansk | 1.96 | 1.31% |
| WIN | EC Juventude - Vila Nova | 1.84 | 1.04% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| GAIS - Elfsborg | 1 | 1.95 | 1.04% | 12 Jul 16:30 |
| Botafogo PB - AD Confianca | 1 | 2.02 | 1.31% | 13 Jul 00:30 |