Matsumoto Y FC – Fukushima Utd

Model: TIPPSH

Matsumoto Y FC vs Fukushima Utd

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.91
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 24, 2026 9:00 AM
ResultLOSS3 - 3
StartStarted 48d 22h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 49d ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Matsumoto Y FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Matsumoto Y FC

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

28/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.67First seen
Current1.92Now
Max odds1.92Highest point
Min odds1.65Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Matsumoto Y FCHOME
VS
Fukushima UtdAWAY
DDDWL
Recent form
DLWDL
Avg goals scored
1.40
1.80
Defensive weakness
1.00
2.20
Shots on target for
3.60
4.00
SoT conceded pressure
2.80
6.40
Home splitD-D-L-D-L0.80 scored / 1.20 conceded
Away splitD-D-W-W2.25 scored / 1.25 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.91. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Japan J2/J3 Centennial League (jp). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.91
V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 34.2% 7D: 30.2% 15D: 23.0% 30D: 8.6%
Model insight

Matsumoto Y FC – Fukushima Utd Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.91. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample305
Win Rate46.6%
Profit-28.83u
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WINWarta Sieradz - LKS Lodz II2.051.04%
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Pick
1 @ 1.91
Kickoff
Mag 24, 2026 9:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
1.31% • n=2537
Start
Started 48d 22h ago
Updated
Updated 49d ago
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