Hapoel Beer Sheva – Maccabi Haifa

Model: TIPPSH

Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Maccabi Haifa

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.77
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 23, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 5
StartStarted 48d 17h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 48d 19h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Hapoel Beer Sheva. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Hapoel Beer Sheva

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

26/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.56First seen
Current1.77Now
Max odds1.77Highest point
Min odds1.50Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Hapoel Beer ShevaHOME
VS
Maccabi HaifaAWAY
LWWDW
Recent form
WWDLW
Avg goals scored
2.60
2.60
Defensive weakness
2.00
1.40
Shots on target for
6.00
4.60
SoT conceded pressure
2.80
4.00
Home splitL-W-W-D-W2.60 scored / 1.80 conceded
Away splitW-L-W-L-L1.40 scored / 2.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.77. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Israel Premier League (il). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.77
V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

With no dominant recent form edge, the pick should be interpreted mainly through the model's historical profile. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Hapoel Beer Sheva is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 33.7% 7D: 36.8% 15D: 21.5% 30D: 8.1%
Model insight

Hapoel Beer Sheva – Maccabi Haifa Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.77. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample215
Win Rate44.2%
Profit-36.74u
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Pick
1 @ 1.77
Kickoff
Mag 23, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
1.31% • n=2537
Start
Started 48d 17h ago
Updated
Updated 48d 19h ago
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