Model: TIPPSH
Girona – Elche
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.86
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 23, 2026 11:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 3d 14h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 3d 17h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Girona | Elche |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-L-D-D-L | D-W-L-D-L |
| Avg goals scored | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Home/Away form | D-D-L-L-W (home) | D-L-L-W-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.00 scored / 1.20 conceded | 1.00 scored / 1.60 conceded |
| Shots on target | 6.00 for / 3.20 against | 3.00 for / 4.20 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 3.60 for / 2.00 against (home) | 3.00 for / 5.20 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Girona has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds5.43First seen
Current5.43Now
Max odds5.43Highest point
Min odds1.82Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendStableShort term
Model insight
Girona – Elche Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.86. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample60
Win Rate43.3%
Profit-9.77u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Cape Town City - Milford FC | 1.91 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Scherpenheuvel - Inter Willemstad | 1.84 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Penarol Reserves - Deportivo Maldonado Reserves | 1.81 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Sandefjord - Fredrikstad | 1.94 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Chattanooga FC - Carolina Core FC | 1.98 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Manauara EC - Manaus | 1.83 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Mlawianka Mlawa - Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki | 1.80 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Granat Skarzysko-Kamienna - Wierna Malogoszcz | 2.10 | 1.31% |
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| All Boys Reserves - Ferrocarril Midland Reserves | 1 | 1.78 | 1.04% | 27 May 16:00 |
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| Wieczysta Krakow - Polonia Warsaw | 1 | 1.90 | 1.31% | 28 May 17:30 |
| National Bank - Al Ittihad Al Sakandary | 1 | 2.03 | 1.04% | 29 May 19:00 |
| EC Juventude - America MG | 1 | 1.88 | 1.31% | 30 May 02:00 |
| Charleston Battery - Detroit City FC | 1 | 1.89 | 1.04% | 31 May 00:00 |
Pick
1 @ 1.86
Kickoff
Mag 23, 2026 11:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Start
Started 3d 14h ago
Updated
Updated 3d 17h ago