Model: TIPPSH

Escobar FC vs Independiente Chivilcoy

PREDICTION

@ 2.39

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 24, 2026 10:30 PM

ResultLOSS0 - 0

StartStarted 47d 16h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 47d 19h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Escobar FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Escobar FC

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

35/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.40First seen

Current2.39Now

Max odds2.42Highest point

Min odds2.32Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Escobar FCHOME

Independiente ChivilcoyAWAY

DLLWW

Recent form

DLWLL

Avg goals scored

1.40

0.20

Defensive weakness

2.00

1.00

Shots on target for

4.00

2.40

SoT conceded pressure

4.00

5.40

Home splitD-L-W-L1.00 scored / 1.75 conceded

Away splitD-L-L-W0.25 scored / 0.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.39. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Argentina Torneo A (ar). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.39

V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Escobar FC is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 42.7% 7D: 33.3% 15D: 21.3% 30D: 9.2%

Model insight

Escobar FC – Independiente Chivilcoy Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.39. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample143

Win Rate42.7%

Profit-1.98u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Brisbane Roar NPL - Rochedale Rovers	2.50	1.59%
WIN	Nublense - O'Higgins	2.39	1.41%
WIN	Aarhus Fremad - Silkeborg IF	2.64	1.41%
WIN	Athlone Town - Cobh Ramblers	2.51	1.59%
LOSS	Cheonan City - Gimhae FC 2008	2.19	1.31%
WIN	Belconnen United U23 - Canberra Juventus U23	2.25	1.59%
WIN	America RJ - Serrano	2.15	1.04%
LOSS	Olaria AC - Bonsucesso FC	2.19	1.04%

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Boca Juniors Reserves - River Plate Reserves	1	2.40	1.59%	05 Jul 19:00
Barra FC - Santa Cruz FC	1	2.28	1.59%	12 Jul 16:00
Figueirense - Volta Redonda	1	2.17	1.04%	14 Jul 01:30

Pick

1 @ 2.39

Kickoff

Mag 24, 2026 10:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341

Start

Started 47d 16h ago

Updated

Updated 47d 19h ago