Model: TIPPSH

FK Dziugas Telsiai vs Panevezys

PREDICTION

@ 2.10

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 30, 2026 3:15 PM

ResultWIN4 - 0

StartStarted 43d 6h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 43d 8h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FK Dziugas Telsiai. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FK Dziugas Telsiai

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

30/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.07First seen

Current2.10Now

Max odds2.25Highest point

Min odds1.98Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FK Dziugas TelsiaiHOME

PanevezysAWAY

WWDLW

Recent form

LWWDL

Avg goals scored

1.60

1.40

Defensive weakness

0.60

1.60

Shots on target for

4.80

3.60

SoT conceded pressure

3.00

4.60

Home splitW-W-D-L-W1.60 scored / 0.60 conceded

Away splitL-W-L-W-L1.40 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.10. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Lithuania A Lyga (lt). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.10

V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. FK Dziugas Telsiai has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 7.5% 7D: 31.1% 15D: 23.9% 30D: 7.8%

Model insight

FK Dziugas Telsiai – Panevezys Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.10. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample299

Win Rate46.8%

Profit-10.38u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Fremantle City FC (W) - Perth Redstar FC (W)	2.25	1.59%
LOSS	Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) - Northern Tigers FC (W)	2.20	1.04%
WIN	GAIS - Elfsborg	1.95	1.04%
LOSS	Barra FC - Santa Cruz FC	2.28	1.59%
LOSS	Los Angeles FC II - Portland Timbers II	2.07	1.04%
WIN	Houston Dynamo II - St Louis City II	1.89	1.31%
WIN	Argentino Merlo - Argentino Quilmes	2.10	1.04%
LOSS	Deportivo Moron - Deportivo Madryn	1.95	1.04%

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Pick

1 @ 2.10

Kickoff

Mag 30, 2026 3:15 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.31% • n=2537

Start

Started 43d 6h ago

Updated

Updated 43d 8h ago