Manly Utd vs Blacktown City
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Manly Utd. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Manly UtdGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.17. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia New South Wales Premier League (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Manly Utd a useful statistical edge. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.
Manly Utd – Blacktown City Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Penarol Reserves - Racing Club de Montevideo Reserves | 2.13 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Al Ansar Beirut - Al Nejmeh | 2.17 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Keflavik - IA Akranes | 2.36 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Buzios - Barra Mansa | 2.35 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Sao Joao del Rei U20 - Inter De Minas U20 | 2.24 | 1.04% |
| WIN | South East United FC - Launceston United | 1.95 | 1.04% |
| WIN | St Pauli - HNK Gorica | 2.01 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Changchun Dazhong (W) - Sichuan Jiannanchun Women | 2.13 | 1.04% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Boca Juniors Reserves - River Plate Reserves | 1 | 2.40 | 1.59% | 05 Jul 19:00 |
| Macara - Deportivo Cuenca | 1 | 2.01 | 1.04% | 22 Jul 21:00 |
| Hajduk Split - Pafos FC | 1 | 2.26 | 1.59% | 23 Jul 21:00 |
| Athletic Club MG - Sao Bernardo SP | 1 | 2.14 | 1.04% | 24 Jul 00:30 |
| AaB - Hillerød | 1 | 2.25 | 1.59% | 24 Jul 19:00 |
| Birmingham Legion FC - New Mexico United | 1 | 1.97 | 1.04% | 25 Jul 02:00 |