Eastern Suburbs vs Moreton City Excelsior
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Eastern Suburbs. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Eastern SuburbsGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.61. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia NPL Queensland (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
Although the odds are relatively high, Eastern Suburbs shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.
Eastern Suburbs – Moreton City Excelsior Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | United Kolkata SC - Bhawanipore FC | 2.43 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Kedah FA U20 - Touchtronics FC U20 | 2.43 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Keflavik - IA Akranes | 2.36 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Vikingur Reykjavik - Hapoel Beer Sheva | 2.43 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Hills United FC (W) - Manly Utd (W) | 2.69 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Boroondara Eagles (W) - Melbourne Victory NPL (W) | 2.45 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Sport Huancayo II - Comerciantes FC | 2.53 | 1.59% |
| WIN | HNK Segesta - Karlovac | 2.40 | 1.59% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Star - Logan Lightning | 1 | 2.55 | 1.59% | 23 May 09:00 |
| FC Lahti - FC Ilves | 1 | 2.65 | 1.59% | 30 May 16:00 |
| Boca Juniors Reserves - River Plate Reserves | 1 | 2.40 | 1.59% | 05 Jul 19:00 |