Model: TIPPSH
Eastern Suburbs – Moreton City Excelsior
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.61
StatusUpcoming
KickoffGiu 05, 2026 1:30 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 1d
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 7m ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Eastern Suburbs | Moreton City Excelsior |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-W-W-W-W | L-W-L-W-W |
| Avg goals scored | 3.00 | 3.20 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| Home/Away form | W-W-D (home) | L-W-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 3.00 scored / 1.00 conceded | 3.00 scored / 1.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 6.80 for / 3.80 against | 7.20 for / 5.20 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 9.50 for / 4.50 against (home) | 5.67 for / 4.33 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Despite entering the match at a generous price, Eastern Suburbs has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.
Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 12.1%
7D: -4.3%
15D: 15.5%
30D: 13.2%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.48First seen
Current2.61Now
Max odds2.61Highest point
Min odds2.48Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Eastern Suburbs – Moreton City Excelsior Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.61. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample26
Win Rate50.0%
Profit+6.54u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | AC Taverne - Servette II | 2.53 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Gimnasia Mendoza Reserves - Gimnasia LP Reserves | 2.57 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Club Deportes Santa Cruz - Deportes Copiapo | 2.42 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Kataller Toyama - Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 2.49 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Tacoma Stars - FC Olympia | 2.64 | 1.59% |
| WIN | FC Lahti - FC Ilves | 2.60 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | KuPS Kuopio - FC Inter | 2.55 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Degerfors - Brommapojkarna | 2.39 | 1.59% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Star - Logan Lightning | 1 | 2.55 | 1.59% | 23 May 09:00 |
| FC Lahti - FC Ilves | 1 | 2.65 | 1.59% | 30 May 16:00 |
Pick
1 @ 2.61
Kickoff
Giu 05, 2026 1:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341
Start
Starts in 1d
Updated
Updated 7m ago