Sparta Brodnica – Lech Rypin

Model: TIPPSH

Sparta Brodnica vs Lech Rypin

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.56
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 06, 2026 4:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 2
StartStarted 46d 2h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.70% · n=209
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 46d 6h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Sparta Brodnica. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Sparta BrodnicaGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

28/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.67First seen
Current2.50Now
Max odds2.88Highest point
Min odds1.67Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Sparta BrodnicaHOME
VS
Lech RypinAWAY
LLW
Recent form
WLW
Avg goals scored
0.67
2.00
Defensive weakness
1.33
2.00
Shots on target for
3.00
4.33
SoT conceded pressure
4.33
5.67
Home splitL-L-W0.67 scored / 1.33 conceded
Away splitW-L1.50 scored / 3.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.56. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -0.70% based on n=209 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Poland IV Liga (pl). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.56
V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341
V4 BandNONEROI -0.70% · n=209
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -12.9% 7D: -4.8% 15D: 8.5% 30D: 14.8%
Model insight

Sparta Brodnica – Lech Rypin Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.56. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -0.70% across 209 historical samples. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample100
Win Rate39.0%
Profit-3.88u
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ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
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WINKeflavik - IA Akranes2.361.59%
WINVikingur Reykjavik - Hapoel Beer Sheva2.431.59%
WINBuzios - Barra Mansa2.351.59%
LOSSHills United FC (W) - Manly Utd (W)2.691.59%
WINBoroondara Eagles (W) - Melbourne Victory NPL (W)2.451.59%
LOSSSport Huancayo II - Comerciantes FC2.531.59%
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Pick
1 @ 2.56
Kickoff
Giu 06, 2026 4:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-0.70% • n=209
Start
Started 46d 2h ago
Updated
Updated 46d 6h ago
Torna in alto