Model: TIPPSH

Athletic Club MG vs Avai

PREDICTION

@ 1.95

StatusUpcoming

KickoffGiu 28, 2026 11:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 3d 13h

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 8m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Athletic Club MG. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Athletic Club MG

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

29/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.08First seen

Current2.12Now

Max odds2.12Highest point

Min odds2.08Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Athletic Club MGHOME

AvaiAWAY

LDDWW

Recent form

WLLLW

Avg goals scored

1.00

1.40

Defensive weakness

1.00

1.60

Shots on target for

2.00

3.00

SoT conceded pressure

3.60

6.00

Home splitD-W-D-D-L0.60 scored / 0.60 conceded

Away splitL-L-L-D-L1.00 scored / 2.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.95. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie B (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.95

V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Athletic Club MG. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -11.9% 7D: -3.5% 15D: -0.2% 30D: -2.6%

Model insight

Athletic Club MG – Avai Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.95. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample264

Win Rate46.2%

Profit-24.28u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Corpus Christi FC - Antelope Valley Alta	1.95	1.04%
WIN	Al Ahed - Safa Beirut	2.04	1.04%
WIN	Lilla Torg FF - Torns IF	2.05	1.31%
LOSS	Changchun Dazhong (W) - Shandong (W)	1.85	1.04%
WIN	FK Transinvest (W) - Kauno Rajono FA (W)	2.10	1.04%
WIN	Alftanes - Arborg	2.17	1.31%
LOSS	La Serena - Cobresal	2.05	1.31%
WIN	Gold Coast Knights - Eastern Suburbs	2.19	1.04%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola	1	2.17	1.04%	30 May 18:30
Klubi-04 - SJK II	1	2.03	1.04%	26 Jun 18:00
Congo DR - Uzbekistan	1	2.10	1.31%	28 Jun 01:30

Pick

1 @ 1.95

Kickoff

Giu 28, 2026 11:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.31% • n=2537

Start

Starts in 3d 13h

Updated

Updated 8m ago