Model: TIPPSH

Botev Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali

PREDICTION

@ 2.00

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffGiu 26, 2026 11:00 AM

ResultWIN2 - 1

StartStarted 10h 24m ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 12h 26m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Botev Plovdiv. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Botev Plovdiv

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

29/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds3.35First seen

Current2.14Now

Max odds3.35Highest point

Min odds2.14Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Botev PlovdivHOME

Arda KardzhaliAWAY

WWLWL

Recent form

LWWWL

Avg goals scored

2.60

2.00

Defensive weakness

1.00

1.40

Shots on target for

6.80

4.00

SoT conceded pressure

3.40

4.00

Home splitW-W-W-L-L2.40 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitL-W-W-L-D1.40 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.00. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.00

V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Botev Plovdiv's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: 6.4% 7D: -3.6% 15D: -4.4% 30D: -0.9%

Model insight

Botev Plovdiv – Arda Kardzhali Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.00. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample277

Win Rate46.6%

Profit-21.97u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Corpus Christi FC - Antelope Valley Alta	1.95	1.04%
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WIN	Lilla Torg FF - Torns IF	2.05	1.31%
LOSS	Changchun Dazhong (W) - Shandong (W)	1.85	1.04%
WIN	FK Transinvest (W) - Kauno Rajono FA (W)	2.10	1.04%
WIN	Alftanes - Arborg	2.17	1.31%
LOSS	La Serena - Cobresal	2.05	1.31%
WIN	Gold Coast Knights - Eastern Suburbs	2.19	1.04%

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Pick

1 @ 2.00

Kickoff

Giu 26, 2026 11:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.31% • n=2537

Start

Started 10h 24m ago

Updated

Updated 12h 26m ago