Model: TIPPSH

MAS Fes vs US Yacoub El Mansour

PREDICTION

@ 1.68

StatusUpcoming

KickoffGiu 28, 2026 9:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 7h 32m

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -9.21% · n=1970

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 2h 27m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is MAS Fes. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: MAS Fes

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

3/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.65First seen

Current1.68Now

Max odds1.70Highest point

Min odds1.65Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

MAS FesHOME

US Yacoub El MansourAWAY

WLWDD

Recent form

WWWLD

Avg goals scored

1.00

1.40

Defensive weakness

0.80

1.00

Shots on target for

5.60

2.80

SoT conceded pressure

2.60

3.00

Home splitL-W-D-L-L0.60 scored / 1.20 conceded

Away splitW-L-L-D-W1.20 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.68. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -9.21% based on n=1970 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Morocco GNF 1 (ma). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.68

V2 BandNONEROI -9.21% · n=1970

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The market is strongly leaning toward MAS Fes, but the statistical edge looks less pronounced. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. MAS Fes is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: 20.3% 7D: 5.6% 15D: 1.8% 30D: -3.9%

Model insight

MAS Fes – US Yacoub El Mansour Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.68. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -9.21% across 1970 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample175

Win Rate57.1%

Profit-7.19u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	FC Elimai Semey - FK Kyzylzhar	1.72	-10.11%
LOSS	Motala AIF FK - Vanersborgs FK	1.63	-7.35%
WIN	Velez Sarsfield U20 - Colon U20	1.64	-7.35%
WIN	Botev Plovdiv - KF Ballkani	1.68	-6.04%
LOSS	Madla - Mandalskameratene	1.68	-9.21%
LOSS	Shamrock Rovers (W) - Wexford Youths (W)	1.69	-7.35%
WIN	Capital CF - Aparecidense	1.71	-9.21%
WIN	Talleres Remedios - Defensores Unidos	1.65	-4.66%

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Pick

1 @ 1.68

Kickoff

Giu 28, 2026 9:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -9.21% • n=1970

Start

Starts in 7h 32m

Updated

Updated 2h 27m ago