Model: TIPPSH

Capital CF vs Aparecidense

PREDICTION

@ 1.79

StatusUpcoming

KickoffGiu 27, 2026 11:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 22h 16m

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.63% · n=470

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 5m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Capital CF. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Capital CF

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

28/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.80First seen

Current1.79Now

Max odds1.80Highest point

Min odds1.68Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Capital CFHOME

AparecidenseAWAY

DWWDW

Recent form

DDDLD

Avg goals scored

2.20

1.00

Defensive weakness

0.80

1.20

Shots on target for

5.60

3.20

SoT conceded pressure

3.40

5.80

Home splitW-W-W-D-D1.80 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitD-L-D-D-W1.40 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.79. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.63% based on n=470 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie D (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.79

V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 BandLOWROI 1.63% · n=470

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Capital CF. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Capital CF's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: 48.5% 7D: -15.4% 15D: -4.8% 30D: -2.3%

Model insight

Capital CF – Aparecidense Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.79. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.04% and 1.63%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample184

Win Rate44.0%

Profit-31.23u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Corpus Christi FC - Antelope Valley Alta	1.95	1.04%
WIN	Al Ahed - Safa Beirut	2.04	1.04%
LOSS	Changchun Dazhong (W) - Shandong (W)	1.85	1.04%
WIN	Klubi-04 - SJK II	2.03	1.04%
WIN	CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) - Huracan (W)	1.90	1.04%
LOSS	Guarani de Palhoca - Nacao	2.00	1.31%
WIN	Maitland FC - Newcastle Olympic FC	1.84	1.31%
WIN	IFK Goteborg (W) - Trelleborgs FF (W)	1.77	1.04%

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Pick

1 @ 1.79

Kickoff

Giu 27, 2026 11:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.63% • n=470

Start

Starts in 22h 16m

Updated

Updated 5m ago