Model: TIPPSH

New York Red Bulls II vs Philadelphia Union II

PREDICTION

@ 1.70

StatusUpcoming

KickoffGiu 29, 2026 3:00 AM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 1d 4h

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -9.21% · n=1970

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 8m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is New York Red Bulls II. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: New York Red Bulls II

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

3/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.68First seen

Current1.70Now

Max odds1.71Highest point

Min odds1.68Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

New York Red Bulls IIHOME

Philadelphia Union IIAWAY

WLLDL

Recent form

WLLLW

Avg goals scored

1.60

1.00

Defensive weakness

2.00

1.20

Shots on target for

5.40

3.20

SoT conceded pressure

6.80

4.20

Home splitW-L-L-W-W3.00 scored / 1.60 conceded

Away splitW-L-L-W-L1.00 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.70. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -9.21% based on n=1970 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA MLS Next Pro League (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.70

V2 BandNONEROI -9.21% · n=1970

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

At a short price, the selection appears more probability-based than value-driven. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to New York Red Bulls II's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -23.7% 7D: -16.1% 15D: -5.9% 30D: -4.6%

Model insight

New York Red Bulls II – Philadelphia Union II Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.70. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -9.21% across 1970 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample172

Win Rate56.4%

Profit-9.24u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	FC Elimai Semey - FK Kyzylzhar	1.72	-10.11%
LOSS	Motala AIF FK - Vanersborgs FK	1.63	-7.35%
WIN	Velez Sarsfield U20 - Colon U20	1.64	-7.35%
WIN	Botev Plovdiv - KF Ballkani	1.68	-6.04%
LOSS	Madla - Mandalskameratene	1.68	-9.21%
LOSS	Shamrock Rovers (W) - Wexford Youths (W)	1.69	-7.35%
LOSS	Fylkir Reykjavik - HK Kopavogur	1.70	-9.21%
WIN	Sfera FC U20 - Maua FC U20	1.65	-9.21%

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Pick

1 @ 1.70

Kickoff

Giu 29, 2026 3:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -9.21% • n=1970

Start

Starts in 1d 4h

Updated

Updated 8m ago