Model: TIPPSH

Olaria AC vs Bonsucesso FC

PREDICTION

@ 2.23

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffLug 04, 2026 9:45 PM

ResultLOSS0 - 1

StartStarted 5h 45m ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.63% · n=470

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1d 2h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Olaria AC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Olaria AC

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

33/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.18First seen

Current2.23Now

Max odds2.23Highest point

Min odds2.18Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Olaria ACHOME

Bonsucesso FCAWAY

LLWWW

Recent form

WWDLW

Avg goals scored

1.40

Defensive weakness

0.40

1.00

Shots on target for

2.80

SoT conceded pressure

2.00

3.40

Home splitL-W-W-D-D1.60 scored / 0.80 conceded

Away splitW-D-L-D-L0.20 scored / 0.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.23. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.63% based on n=470 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.23

V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 BandLOWROI 1.63% · n=470

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 30.1% 7D: 64.8% 15D: 25.7% 30D: 10.5%

Model insight

Olaria AC – Bonsucesso FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.23. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.04% and 1.63%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample215

Win Rate47.4%

Profit+4.83u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Belconnen United U23 - Canberra Juventus U23	2.25	1.59%
WIN	America RJ - Serrano	2.15	1.04%
LOSS	St Polten - SK Artis Brno	2.03	1.31%
LOSS	Flamengo SP U20 - XV de Jau U20	2.06	1.31%
WIN	Almagro - Atletico Rafaela	2.21	1.04%
WIN	CA Atlanta Reserves - Tristan Suarez Reserves	2.26	1.59%
WIN	CD Moron Reserves - Acassuso Reserves	2.12	1.04%
WIN	Manly Utd - SD Raiders	2.02	1.04%

Active Similar Predictions

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Boca Juniors Reserves - River Plate Reserves	1	2.40	1.59%	05 Jul 19:00
Cobresal - Cobreloa	1	1.99	1.04%	05 Jul 21:00
Deportivo Maipu - Agropecuario	1	2.13	1.04%	05 Jul 21:30

Pick

1 @ 2.23

Kickoff

Lug 04, 2026 9:45 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.63% • n=470

Start

Started 5h 45m ago

Updated

Updated 1d 2h ago