Los Angeles FC II vs Portland Timbers II
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Los Angeles FC II. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Los Angeles FC IIValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.39. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA MLS Next Pro League (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Los Angeles FC II has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Los Angeles FC II – Portland Timbers II Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Brisbane Roar NPL - Rochedale Rovers | 2.50 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Nublense - O'Higgins | 2.39 | 1.41% |
| WIN | Aarhus Fremad - Silkeborg IF | 2.64 | 1.41% |
| WIN | Athlone Town - Cobh Ramblers | 2.51 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Cheonan City - Gimhae FC 2008 | 2.19 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Belconnen United U23 - Canberra Juventus U23 | 2.25 | 1.59% |
| WIN | America RJ - Serrano | 2.15 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Olaria AC - Bonsucesso FC | 2.19 | 1.04% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Star - Logan Lightning | 1 | 2.55 | 1.59% | 23 May 09:00 |
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Boca Juniors Reserves - River Plate Reserves | 1 | 2.40 | 1.59% | 05 Jul 19:00 |
| Barra FC - Santa Cruz FC | 1 | 2.28 | 1.59% | 12 Jul 16:00 |
| Figueirense - Volta Redonda | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 14 Jul 01:30 |