NEC vs V-Varen Nagasaki
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is NEC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: NECValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.63. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -9.89% based on n=63 historical similar picks. The match belongs to World Club Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
The current price indicates market confidence, even if recent form does not show an overwhelming gap. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to NEC's attacking profile.
NEC – V-Varen Nagasaki Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Sporting - Celtic | 1.74 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Viettel U21 - Hoang Anh Gia Lai U21 | 1.74 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | KuPS Kuopio - Vardar Skopje | 1.63 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Quilmes Reserves - Central Cordoba SdE Reserves | 1.72 | -7.35% |
| LOSS | FC Iberia 1999 - FC Flora Tallinn | 1.68 | -7.35% |
| WIN | PK Keski-Uusimaa - FC Jazz | 1.68 | -9.21% |
| WIN | NWS Spirit FC - St George Saints | 1.72 | -9.89% |
| WIN | Njardvik - Grindavik | 1.62 | -7.35% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Lightning - Capalaba FC | 1 | 1.63 | -7.35% | 05 Jun 12:30 |
| Guijuelo - CDA Palencia | 1 | 1.70 | -9.21% | 07 Jun 18:00 |
| Chattanooga Red Wolves - Antelope Valley Alta | 1 | 1.65 | -6.04% | 16 Jul 01:00 |
| Paide Linnameeskond - Hegelmann Litauen | 1 | 1.73 | -9.21% | 16 Jul 18:00 |