NEC – V-Varen Nagasaki

Model: TIPPSH

NEC vs V-Varen Nagasaki

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.63
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 14, 2026 9:00 PM
ResultWIN3 - 1
StartStarted 7h 26m ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -9.89% · n=63
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -9.89% · n=63
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 9h 36m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is NEC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: NEC

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

2/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.62First seen
Current1.63Now
Max odds1.67Highest point
Min odds1.58Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

NECHOME
VS
V-Varen NagasakiAWAY
WLLDW
Recent form
LWWLD
Avg goals scored
2.00
1.00
Defensive weakness
1.80
1.20
Shots on target for
8.40
3.20
SoT conceded pressure
4.40
8.00
Home splitW-L-W-D-D1.80 scored / 1.40 conceded
Away splitL-W-L-L-W1.20 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.63. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -9.89% based on n=63 historical similar picks. The match belongs to World Club Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.63
V2 BandNONEROI -9.89% · n=63
V4 BandNONEROI -9.89% · n=63
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The current price indicates market confidence, even if recent form does not show an overwhelming gap. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to NEC's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: -6.8% 7D: 8.9% 15D: 24.2% 30D: 16.8%
Model insight

NEC – V-Varen Nagasaki Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.63. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -9.89% and -9.89%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample203
Win Rate58.6%
Profit-3.15u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINSporting - Celtic1.74-9.21%
WINViettel U21 - Hoang Anh Gia Lai U211.74-9.21%
LOSSKuPS Kuopio - Vardar Skopje1.63-9.21%
WINQuilmes Reserves - Central Cordoba SdE Reserves1.72-7.35%
LOSSFC Iberia 1999 - FC Flora Tallinn1.68-7.35%
WINPK Keski-Uusimaa - FC Jazz1.68-9.21%
WINNWS Spirit FC - St George Saints1.72-9.89%
WINNjardvik - Grindavik1.62-7.35%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Logan Lightning - Capalaba FC11.63-7.35%05 Jun 12:30
Guijuelo - CDA Palencia11.70-9.21%07 Jun 18:00
Chattanooga Red Wolves - Antelope Valley Alta11.65-6.04%16 Jul 01:00
Paide Linnameeskond - Hegelmann Litauen11.73-9.21%16 Jul 18:00
Pick
1 @ 1.63
Kickoff
Lug 14, 2026 9:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -9.89% • n=63
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-9.89% • n=63
Start
Started 7h 26m ago
Updated
Updated 9h 36m ago
Torna in alto