Model: TIPPSH

Lech Poznan vs Gornik Zabrze

PREDICTION

@ 1.83

StatusUpcoming

KickoffLug 16, 2026 9:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 1d 16h

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 5m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Lech Poznan. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Lech Poznan

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

27/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.90First seen

Current1.83Now

Max odds1.90Highest point

Min odds1.81Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Lech PoznanHOME

Gornik ZabrzeAWAY

WDWDW

Recent form

WDLWW

Avg goals scored

2.00

1.60

Defensive weakness

1.00

0.60

Shots on target for

7.40

2.40

SoT conceded pressure

3.20

2.60

Home splitW-D-D-W-D2.60 scored / 1.40 conceded

Away splitW-D-L-W-W1.20 scored / 0.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.83. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Poland Super Cup (pl). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.83

V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

With no dominant recent form edge, the pick should be interpreted mainly through the model's historical profile. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Lech Poznan has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: -79.8% 7D: 2.3% 15D: 22.0% 30D: 14.6%

Model insight

Lech Poznan – Gornik Zabrze Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.83. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample267

Win Rate45.3%

Profit-35.85u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Legia Warsaw - Radomiak Radom	1.92	1.31%
WIN	AB Copenhagen - Helsingborg	1.95	1.04%
WIN	La Luz - Tacuarembo	1.95	1.04%
WIN	Botafogo PB - AD Confianca	2.02	1.31%
WIN	GAIS - Elfsborg	1.95	1.04%
LOSS	Los Angeles FC II - Portland Timbers II	2.07	1.04%
WIN	Houston Dynamo II - St Louis City II	1.89	1.31%
LOSS	Deportivo Moron - Deportivo Madryn	1.95	1.04%

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Pick

1 @ 1.83

Kickoff

Lug 16, 2026 9:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.31% • n=2537

Start

Starts in 1d 16h

Updated

Updated 5m ago