Keflavik (W) – Haukar (W)

Model: TIPPSH

Keflavik (W) vs Haukar (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.49
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 16, 2026 11:15 PM
ResultWIN7 - 0
StartStarted 10h 10m ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 5h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Keflavik (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Keflavik (W)

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

36/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.25First seen
Current2.49Now
Max odds2.49Highest point
Min odds2.25Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Keflavik (W)HOME
VS
Haukar (W)AWAY
WWLLL
Recent form
LLDDW
Avg goals scored
2.80
1.20
Defensive weakness
1.60
2.60
Shots on target for
6.60
4.40
SoT conceded pressure
5.60
7.80
Home splitW-W-L-W-D2.40 scored / 0.40 conceded
Away splitL-D-W-W-W2.20 scored / 3.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.49. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Iceland 1 Deild Women (is). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.49
V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The market prices Keflavik (W) as an outsider, but recent form does not suggest a gap wide enough to completely dismiss the selection. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Keflavik (W)'s attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -21.6% 7D: -10.6% 15D: 8.5% 30D: 14.6%
Model insight

Keflavik (W) – Haukar (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.49. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample111
Win Rate41.4%
Profit+0.34u
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LOSSShanghai Shenhua (W) - Henan (W)2.471.59%
WINFremantle City FC (W) - Perth Redstar FC (W)2.251.59%
LOSSBarra FC - Santa Cruz FC2.281.59%
WINBrisbane Roar NPL - Rochedale Rovers2.501.59%
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Pick
1 @ 2.49
Kickoff
Lug 16, 2026 11:15 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341
Start
Started 10h 10m ago
Updated
Updated 1d 5h ago
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