Beijing Guoan U20 – Henan U20

Model: TIPPSH

Beijing Guoan U20 vs Henan U20

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.75
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 18, 2026 3:00 PM
ResultWIN3 - 1
StartStarted 22h 8m ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -7.35% · n=1010
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -7.35% · n=1010
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 2h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Beijing Guoan U20. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Beijing Guoan U20

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

4/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.38First seen
Current1.75Now
Max odds1.75Highest point
Min odds1.38Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Beijing Guoan U20HOME
VS
Henan U20AWAY
WWWDD
Recent form
LLDWL
Avg goals scored
2.60
0.40
Defensive weakness
0.60
1.60
Shots on target for
5.00
2.20
SoT conceded pressure
1.40
4.60
Home splitW-W-D-W3.00 scored / 0.75 conceded
Away splitL-L-L-W-W1.40 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.75. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -7.35% based on n=1010 historical similar picks. The match belongs to China U20 League (cn). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.75
V2 BandNONEROI -7.35% · n=1010
V4 BandNONEROI -7.35% · n=1010
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Market expectations and recent results both point toward Beijing Guoan U20 as the more reliable side. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Beijing Guoan U20 is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 30.1% 7D: 12.3% 15D: 11.2% 30D: 18.6%
Model insight

Beijing Guoan U20 – Henan U20 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.75. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -7.35% and -7.35%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample217
Win Rate58.1%
Profit-5.43u
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WINKF Fjallabyggd - Sindri1.70-9.21%
LOSSMan Utd - Wrexham1.71-9.21%
LOSSThe Town - North Texas SC1.74-9.21%
WINHouston Dynamo II - Colorado Rapids II1.66-9.21%
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Pick
1 @ 1.75
Kickoff
Lug 18, 2026 3:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -7.35% • n=1010
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-7.35% • n=1010
Start
Started 22h 8m ago
Updated
Updated 1d 2h ago
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