Macara – Deportivo Cuenca

Model: TIPPSH

Macara vs Deportivo Cuenca

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.14
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 22, 2026 11:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 1d 17h
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 12m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Macara. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: MacaraGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.103 | A: -0.060

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

30/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.38First seen
Current2.14Now
Max odds2.45Highest point
Min odds2.13Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

MacaraHOME
VS
Deportivo CuencaAWAY
LWWWW
Recent form
LDLLD
Avg goals scored
1.40
0.20
Defensive weakness
0.60
1.20
Shots on target for
3.00
3.80
SoT conceded pressure
2.80
6.00
Home splitW-W-D-L-D1.00 scored / 1.20 conceded
Away splitD-L-D-D-L0.20 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.14. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Ecuador LigaPro Serie A (ec). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.14
V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Macara a useful statistical edge. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 31.8% 7D: 24.0% 15D: 16.2% 30D: 20.9%
Model insight

Macara – Deportivo Cuenca Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.14. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample329
Win Rate47.4%
Profit-2.26u
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Pick
1 @ 2.14
Kickoff
Lug 22, 2026 11:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Start
Starts in 1d 17h
Updated
Updated 12m ago
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