Model: TIPPSH

FC Arges Pitesti vs Petrolul Ploiesti

PREDICTION

@ 2.18

StatusUpcoming

KickoffLug 24, 2026 10:30 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 3d 8h

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 7m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FC Arges Pitesti. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FC Arges PitestiGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.001 | A: 0.058

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

39/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.43First seen

Current2.40Now

Max odds2.43Highest point

Min odds2.40Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FC Arges PitestiHOME

Petrolul PloiestiAWAY

LWWWD

Recent form

WDDLW

Avg goals scored

2.40

1.60

Defensive weakness

1.00

1.20

Shots on target for

5.80

4.60

SoT conceded pressure

3.00

5.20

Home splitW-D-L-D-L1.60 scored / 1.40 conceded

Away splitL-W-L-D-L1.40 scored / 2.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.18. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.37% based on n=795 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Romania Liga I (ro). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.18

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives FC Arges Pitesti a useful statistical edge. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to FC Arges Pitesti's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 43.7% 7D: 24.8% 15D: 17.9% 30D: 20.3%

Model insight

FC Arges Pitesti – Petrolul Ploiesti Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.18. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.37% and 3.37%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample251

Win Rate45.8%

Profit-11.80u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	CS Corvinul Hunedoara - FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc	2.05	3.37%
LOSS	Braga - Celta Vigo	2.03	3.37%
LOSS	Columbus Crew II - Philadelphia Union II	2.17	3.37%
LOSS	Spartans - Stirling	2.25	2.49%
WIN	BFA Vilnius - FK Ekranas	2.25	3.15%
LOSS	Nautico - EC Juventude	2.27	3.15%
WIN	Club Atletico Temperley - Tristan Suarez	2.41	2.49%
WIN	FK Jelgava - SC Grobinas	2.05	3.37%

Active Similar Predictions

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Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz	1	1.98	4.86%	09 May 13:00
FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina	1	1.93	2.30%	10 May 19:00
Crusaders - Glenavon	1	2.41	2.49%	21 Jul 20:30
Cuiaba - Atletico GO	1	2.26	2.49%	24 Jul 01:30
ACS UTA Batrana Doamna - Otelul Galati	1	2.10	3.37%	24 Jul 17:30
FC Arges Pitesti - Petrolul Ploiesti	1	2.18	3.37%	24 Jul 18:30
Lucerne - FC Thun	1	2.31	2.49%	25 Jul 20:30

Pick

1 @ 2.18

Kickoff

Lug 24, 2026 10:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 3.37% • n=795

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

3.37% • n=795

Start

Starts in 3d 8h

Updated

Updated 7m ago